Michelle Kendall
Researcher in Infectious Disease Modelling
Developing and communicating statistical methods, software and results for public health protection
I work across two CEPI-funded projects: PRESTO and RVF-VETS. PRESTO aims to optimise the implementation of vaccine efficacy trials in the event of an emerging epidemic. The RVF-VETS project is working to assess the impact of Rift Valley Fever across Africa and, accordingly, how best to implement vaccine efficacy trials.
Previously I was involved in the motivation, design, maintenance and evaluation of the NHS COVID-19 app. A summary of the work can be found here. For this work I was based first at the Oxford Big Data Institute and then in the Health Protection Research Unit in Genomics and Enabling Data at the University of Warwick, working closely with NHS Test and Trace and the UK Health Security Agency.
Since its decommission in April 2023, I have continued to be involved in extracting epidemiological insights from the anonymised NHS COVID-19 app data and advocating for the use of Digital Contact Tracing for mitigation and monitoring of future epidemics.
My first PostDoc was in the biomathematics group at Imperial College London with Caroline Colijn, where we developed methods and software for comparing evolutionary trees.
My PhD was in Information Security at Royal Holloway, University of London, with Keith Martin. I used combinatorial and probabilistic methods to answer questions about how to distribute cryptographic keys to secure networks of small devices.
Key publications
Drivers of epidemic dynamics in real time from daily digital COVID-19 measurements
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2024), Science, 385
Epidemiological impacts of the NHS COVID-19 app in England and Wales throughout its first year
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2023), Nature Communications, 14
The epidemiological impact of the NHS COVID-19 app
Journal article
Wymant C. et al, (2021), Nature, 594, 408 - 412
Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing
Journal article
Ferretti L. et al, (2020), Science, 368
Recent publications
Drivers of epidemic dynamics in real time from daily digital COVID-19 measurements
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2024), Science, 385
Digital measurement of SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk from 7 million contacts
Journal article
Ferretti L. et al, (2024), Nature, 626, 145 - 150
Within-host diversity improves phylogenetic and transmission reconstruction of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks.
Journal article
Torres Ortiz A. et al, (2023), eLife, 12
Epidemiological impacts of the NHS COVID-19 app in England and Wales throughout its first year
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2023), Nature Communications, 14
OpenABM-Covid19—An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing
Journal article
Hinch R. et al, (2021), PLOS Computational Biology, 17, e1009146 - e1009146
The epidemiological impact of the NHS COVID-19 app
Journal article
Wymant C. et al, (2021), Nature, 594, 408 - 412
Epidemiological changes on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the NHS Test and Trace programme: a preliminary analysis
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2020), The Lancet Digital Health, 2, e658 - e666
COVID-19 incidence and R decreased on the Isle of Wight after the launch of the Test, Trace, Isolate programme
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2020)
Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing
Journal article
Ferretti L. et al, (2020), Science, 368
Quantifying SARS-CoV-2 transmission suggests epidemic control with digital contact tracing
Journal article
Ferretti L. et al, (2020)
Evaluation of phylogenetic reconstruction methods using bacterial whole genomes: a simulation based study
Journal article
Lees JA. et al, (2018), Wellcome Open Research, 3, 33 - 33
Evaluation of phylogenetic reconstruction methods using bacterial whole genomes: a simulation based study
Journal article
Lees JA. et al, (2018), Wellcome Open Research, 3, 33 - 33
Estimating Transmission from Genetic and Epidemiological Data: A Metric to Compare Transmission Trees
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2018), Statistical Science, 33
Convergent evolution and topologically disruptive polymorphisms among multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Peru
Journal article
Grandjean L. et al, (2017), PLOS ONE, 12, e0189838 - e0189838
treespace: Statistical exploration of landscapes of phylogenetic trees
Journal article
Jombart T. et al, (2017), Molecular Ecology Resources, 17, 1385 - 1392
HIV-1 Full-Genome Phylogenetics of Generalized Epidemics in Sub-Saharan Africa: Impact of Missing Nucleotide Characters in Next-Generation Sequences
Journal article
Ratmann O. et al, (2017), AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses, 33, 1083 - 1098
Phylogenetic Tools for Generalized HIV-1 Epidemics: Findings from the PANGEA-HIV Methods Comparison
Journal article
Ratmann O. et al, (2017), Molecular Biology and Evolution, 34, 185 - 203
Mapping Phylogenetic Trees to Reveal Distinct Patterns of Evolution
Journal article
Kendall M. and Colijn C., (2016), Molecular Biology and Evolution, 33, 2735 - 2743
Graph-theoretic design and analysis of key predistribution schemes
Journal article
Kendall M. and Martin KM., (2016), Designs, Codes and Cryptography, 81, 11 - 34
Mapping phylogenetic trees to reveal distinct patterns of evolution
Journal article
Kendall M. and Colijn C., (2015)
Broadcast-Enhanced Key Predistribution Schemes
Journal article
Kendall M. et al, (2014), ACM Transactions on Sensor Networks, 11, 1 - 33
On the Role of Expander Graphs in Key Predistribution Schemes for Wireless Sensor Networks
Conference paper
Kendall M. and Martin KM., (2012), 62 - 82